I’ve been thinking about the whole Kavanaugh debacle for the past few weeks and have been tweeting out different thoughts about it on Twitter. Having a chance now to hear and read a lot of different viewpoints on this topic, I figured I might as well get my perspective in among the mess and see if I could coherently come to any conclusion… and the biggest conclusion I could come to is that it would be a whole lot easier to get to the bottom of this if there were no politics involved– but then no one would care.
This whole process has been a zoo from the start. The protests in the room, Spartacus, and the like. Defeating Kavanaugh means a lot to the left:
- They are still mad about Merrick Garland. Kavanaugh and Garland are on the same DC Circuit court– that had to hurt.
- Justice Kennedy was the swing vote that found Same-Sex Marriage, and was a loyal vote on Abortion. He believed that the court had the right to discover freedoms and rights– socially liberal.
- Kavanaugh was on Ken Starr’s band of men that went after Bill Clinton
- Kavanaugh was in the Bush White House.
So it’s easy to see that Shumer was right that they would throw everything at him, and when one thing wouldn’t stick, they’d try another:
- It’s the midterms, wait until after the election
- We don’t have all his documents from his White House days, then you gave us too many documents at the last minute
- You won’t answer on specific items
- All the protests
- Ford says that you groped her
- Ramirez says that you exposed yourself to her
- Swetnick says that you ran a rape train gang— maybe
- Accuser 4 says she was at parties where you did the same thing
- Roommates come out and say that you were lying about drinking
- You assaulted a former girlfriend
- The FBI investigation is too small, alternately, 7 days is too short
- The media is… backing the GOP changing the definition of corroboration!
It’s gotten pretty insane. So, what is a rational person to do. Figure out what I really think about all the points, naturally. Let’s look through things that are obvious
The Democrats Have No Reason to Tell the Truth
Schumer said in as many words that he was going to oppose Kavanaugh with everything that he had. The last Supreme Court nominee from Trump, Neil Gorsuch was the first successful filibuster of a Supreme Court nominee. They tagged him with being rude to women, and all sorts of other things, but because of the precedent made by then Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV), now Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) ran the nuclear option, meaning that even Supreme Court nominees can no longer be filibustered.
On the night that Kavanaugh was chosen, it was shown that multiple different signs were available for Democrats to use to protest the pick– just get the right sign and away you’d go. So there’s no question that their desires:
- Delay the vote until they have the majority and then let no one in
- Get Trump to pull the nomination
- Get Kavanaugh to withdraw from the nomination
- Beat the nomination in the Senate, humiliating Trump
They do not want any Trump pick on the court. I’d almost think they’d attempt to defeat Merrick Garland if Trump put him forward, just because Trump did it!
5 Senators in the Balance
The game for this nomination is which way five Senators (three GOP, two Democrat) will vote. The GOP need two of these five, and then Vice President Pence could cast the tie breaking vote.
This means that this “show” is only for the five senators– since Trump and Kavanaugh have said that they’re not backing down. This lessens the weight of anyone else in the Senate. Who cares what Lindsey Graham (R-SC), Corey Booker (D-NJ) or Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) has to say on this? It’s not like they were going to change their vote based on the outcomes of the investigations!
We’ve Entered the Realm of Silliness
When both parties enter the discussion with their minds already made up, they might as well vote without the hearings. These things are great for people to speak and get recognized for their lofty positions and to energize their base, but, frankly, no one is attempting to get to the truth in front of cameras.
If they were serious, these things would all be done behind closed doors without cameras, audio tape, etc. An overwhelming majority of what we see is theatrics– which is why you never saw this when he was confirmed to the DC Circuit.
I mean, the American people don’t really have a say here– it’s the Senate that has the power to advise and consent, not the people. Who cares what the polls think of Kavanaugh and why are we covering it like this is an elected office. It’s not.